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Gavin Oldham

Thought for the Week: Guiding Principles for our first 250

Gavin Oldham
Original Broadcast:

Thought for the Week

Thought for the Week: Guiding Principles for our first 250
Welcome to our 250th commentary, produced over these last five years since Share Radio moved to 100% online broadcasting. It's been a period of massive change and increasing clarity on what we need to do to sort out the problems of the world, and we hope these thoughts are making some contribution in that respect. To mark this staging point we thought it might be helpful to set out some of the guiding principles which have steered, and will continue to steer, our comment. For our full list of commentaries, please visit https://www.shareradio.co.uk/thinkingaloud/newsletters/ Background music: Hovering Thoughts by Spence

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Georgie Frost

This Is Money: How will rapidly rising interest rates affect you?

Georgie Frost
Original Broadcast:

This is Money

This Is Money: How will rapidly rising interest rates affect you?
Base rate has gone from 0.1% to 1.25% in the space of six months, in a flurry of rate rising that would have been considered unthinkable a year ago. Yet, as the Bank of England delivered another 0.25% raise, voices were raised in some corners to demand why it hadn't gone further. Why not a 0.5% jump or even a 0.75% one, as the Fed had delivered in the US? With inflation running at 9% and expected to head north into double digits, the onus is on the Bank of England to show it has a grip and we aren't heading back to the 1970s. But is rapidly raising rates the right thing to do and how will it affect savers, borrowers and investors? Georgie Frost, Lee Boyce and Simon Lambert discuss the case for and against rate rises and what the impact is for the economy and people. Mortgage rates have risen even faster than the base rate, so what can those who need to remortgage do - and will this sink house prices? The team assess the prospects for the property market and offer their tips on what borrowers should do to prepare and protect themselves. Meanwhile, over in the US, it's the stock market that's suffering as rates rise. Why is that, and how bad could this bear market be? And finally, petrol prices keep hitting record highs and we want people to switch to electric cars but the Government has swiped away the £1,500 grant that helps people buy more affordable models. Will that make a difference, or has electric car demand reached a level where ditching a bung to help out is wise?

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Gavin Oldham

Thought for the Week: Government must learn how to be a catalyst

Gavin Oldham
Original Broadcast:

Thought for the Week

Thought for the Week: Government must learn how to be a catalyst
The Bank of England expects the price inflation peak to be high, but short-lived: however if it feeds into wage inflation it could seriously undermine both national debt servicing and the property market: that's why the Government appears to be adopting a tight fiscal stance and announcing a large reduction in the civil service. Carefully targeted support with the swiftly rising cost of living is urgently needed for those most in need and, if the Government can't or won't respond, it could be enabled through the voluntary sector: with Government acting as catalyst. However this is a role to which they're not currently accustomed. Background music: 'Everything has a Beginning' by Joel Cummins.

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Gavin Oldham

Thought for the Week: Inflation Drivers

Gavin Oldham
Original Broadcast:

Thought for the Week

Thought for the Week: Inflation Drivers
The range of major drivers which will steer inflation over the years ahead is wide and diverse, but their duration must be considered as well as their positive or negative impact on rates. For example, the drivers most affected by Putin's war in Ukraine are energy shortages and supply chain disruption, and the threat of de-globalisation in future. These all contribute to higher inflation but it is only a more cautionary approach leading towards de-globalisation which will persist. Meanwhile technology, demographics and a swifter transition to low cost alternative energy will all bear down on price rises. In this commentary we take a look at nine major influences on future rates of inflation, and conclude that central bankers are right to be cautious about chasing after inflation with their interest rate policy.

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Gavin Oldham

Thought for the Week: Abundance and Scarcity

Gavin Oldham
Original Broadcast:

Thought for the Week

Thought for the Week: Abundance and Scarcity
The contrast in wealth distribution between key regions and countries around the world is as stark as ever. In this commentary, using analysis in the Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook, we look at the convergence we need to achieve in order to help encourage a more egalitarian form of global capitalism. The music accompanying this episode is The Nexus Riddim by Konrad OldMoney

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Gavin Oldham

Thought for the Week: Needed - A Strategy for Sharing

Gavin Oldham
Original Broadcast:

Thought for the Week

Thought for the Week: Needed - A Strategy for Sharing
There's no question over Rishi Sunak's commitment to a strategy to encourage people to work; however, faced with a major cost of living crisis for those on the breadline,there's a real need to complement it with a strategy for sharing. If HM Treasury is not inclined to assist, it should at least set out a plan to encourage those who will. Accompanying music - Bike Sharing to Paradise, by Dan Bodan

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook: Financial Statement 23 March 2022

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook: Financial Statement 23 March 2022
Chancellor Rishi Sunak delivers his statement, unabridged and with no additional comment. Major initiatives include a 5p/litre cut in fuel duty for 12 months, simplification and relief for energy saving home improvements, a doubling of household support via local authorities, a £3,000 increase in the National Insurance threshold, and a promise to cut the basic rate of income tax from 20p/£ to 19p/£ by the next election; plus reform of training, R&D credits and capital-raising.

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Gavin Oldham

Thought for the Week: Trade Imbalances in a MAD world

Gavin Oldham
Original Broadcast:

Thought for the Week

Thought for the Week: Trade Imbalances in a MAD world
The existential threat of mutually assured destruction has kept the world safe from nuclear weapons for the past sixty years but, now that balance is being challenged by a combination of insanity and ignorance, it this just leaves us with economic action. Let's make sure that the trade policy of the free world is adjusted accordingly. Music accompanying this episode is from 'Mad World' by Jennifer Ann.

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Gavin Oldham

Thought for the Week: The Awful Legacy of Carbon

Gavin Oldham
Original Broadcast:

Thought for the Week

Thought for the Week: The Awful Legacy of Carbon
For the past fifty years, nearly all major conflicts have been driven by economic power granted to tyrants by our dependency on fossil fuels. We must now recognise the awful footprint it has left in terms of human suffering, as well as climate change. The huge rise in fossil fuel prices will bring substantial dividends to those who look for opportunities to invest in the new ways of powering the economy, and could kick-start moves to a safer and cleaner world.

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Gavin Oldham

The Bigger Picture: A World of Individual Opportunity - the Vision of Egalitarian Capitalism

Gavin Oldham
Original Broadcast:

The Bigger Picture

The Bigger Picture: A World of Individual Opportunity - the Vision of Egalitarian Capitalism
Imagine a world in which everyone has a stake in the great tech firms that serve them each day, and where dividends are gradually replacing wages to provide regular income for everyone, as work becomes scarcer as a result of automation? Imagine a world where every young person not only has a small inheritance with which to start their adult life, but also the opportunity to build its value by learning life skills? Simon Rose is taking a well-earned break this week, so we’re taking the opportunity to bring you a talk given Gavin Oldham in August to the leading City of London think-tank Z/Yen.

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