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Gavin Oldham

Thought for the Week: Insuring Risks Unknown

Gavin Oldham
Original Broadcast:

Thought for the Week

Thought for the Week: Insuring Risks Unknown
The past year has seen a litany of climate change disasters of which the wildfires in Los Angeles are the latest. Yet Americans still supported Trump's call to 'drill, baby, drill' in the presidential election. This is just the latest disaster that financial markets have to contend with. How much pressure can the insurance and investment markets take? The one thing that we know for sure is that, while the American people may have locked in their choice for the next four years, there's no such insurance for the bond market — it can strike at any time. Background music: 'Trap Unboxing' by Jimmy Fontanez_Doug Maxwell

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Georgie Frost

This Is Money: What’s gone wrong for the UK's finances, is it Rachel Reeves’ fault and how bad is it?

Georgie Frost
Original Broadcast:

This is Money

This Is Money: What’s gone wrong for the UK's finances, is it Rachel Reeves’ fault and how bad is it?
You have to feel for Rachel Reeves. After establishing a solid reputation in opposition, things haven’t gone to plan as Chancellor so far. Her Autumn Budget led to widespread criticism over tax rises on employment and extra costs for businesses, while questions abound over whether her plans will deliver the growth Labour promised voters. Now, a slow burn rise in the UK’s borrowing costs has led to gilt yields surpassing the levels seen after Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng’s ill-fated mini-Budget. Unfortunate, for a Labour party that has spend the past couple of years citing a gilt yield spike as evidence while banging on about Liz Truss ‘crashing the economy’ and Tory mortgage penalties. But is Britain’s current predicament Rachel Reeves' and Sir Keir Starmer’s fault, or do they just find themselves caught out by an unfortunate set of circumstances? Or is it a bit of both? Where did things start to go wrong? Was it the Budget, or was it the claimed ‘£22 billion black hole’ and months of miserabilism? And what are gilts and why do yields even matter? In this episode, Georgie Frost, Lee Boyce and Simon Lambert dig into what’s gone wrong with Britain’s finances and what it means for people. Plus, in better news, Lee looks at the jobs that delivered the biggest pay rises last year and why. Simon explains what’s going on with the US hedge fund staging a raid on seven investment trusts — and why investors should make sure they vote. And finally, Lee catches up with Dave Fishwick as the new 'Bank of Dave' film is released.

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Gavin Oldham

Thought for the Week: Walking into the Unknown

Gavin Oldham
Original Broadcast:

Thought for the Week

Thought for the Week: Walking into the Unknown
Last week we focused on UK government debt: but it pales into insignificance when compared to U.S. national debt. Donald Trump has radical plans to apply tax cuts and huge import tariffs, but could this trigger a global financial crisis with no-one prepared to buy debt in a zombie economy? U.S. national debt has doubled to over $35 trillion during the ten years that Share Radio has been on air: both Democrats and Republicans have driven it remorselessly. A new approach to economics is needed which doesn't rely on either bigger government or lower taxes. Background music: 'Dark Alley Deals' by Aaron Kenny

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Georgie Frost

This Is Money: What President Trump means for your money — and This Is Money programme's tenth birthday

Georgie Frost
Original Broadcast:

This is Money

This Is Money: What President Trump means for your money — and This Is Money programme's tenth birthday
President Trump is back. The US election finally came to a head this week and rather than the knife-edge result many expected, Donald Trump secured a decisive win over Kamala Harris. This episode is a special double-header: the team discuss that US election result and interest rate cuts in the first half, and then celebrate the tenth anniversary of the This is Money programme, born in Share Radio in 2014, in the second. First up it’s President Trump. In a sense, he is more of a known quantity this time round — having already racked up four years in the White House before. But that’s only in so much that Donald Trump can ever really be a known quantity, and the financial world is preparing to strap itself in for another roller-coaster ride. But why does Trump claiming a second run as US president matter to our finances in the UK? What could his policies and pronouncements mean for small investors in Britain? And will the President-elect really drive mortgage costs up on British homes? Georgie Frost, Lee Boyce and Simon Lambert discuss the potential impact of the new Trump presidency on the show this week. Plus, the Bank of England has cut base rate again to 4.75%, but has cautioned that it sees higher inflation and slower rate cuts in future. The team discuss what that means for our mortgages and savings. The menace of out-of-control bamboo in people’s gardens and what you can do if a neighbour has some is also up for debate. And finally, This Is Money fans should listen to the end for the tenth birthday chat – and an announcement of some celebrations.

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Gavin Oldham

Thought for the Week: The OBR should analyse generational impact

Gavin Oldham
Original Broadcast:

Thought for the Week

Thought for the Week: The OBR should analyse generational impact
The yellow-shaded column is the OBR's forecast for borrowing in 2028-29 as at March this year; the blue-shaded is their latest forecast. Is this really 'Invest, Invest, Invest' or 'Borrow, Borrow, Borrow'? The problem is that it all lands on the shoulders of today's young people, who will struggle more to find jobs after the employer NI changes and whose prospects of home ownership and family formation are already weighed down by student debt. Background music: 'Missing Persons' by Jeremy Blake

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Georgie Frost

This Is Money: What does the Budget mean for you - and did Rachel Reeves fo a good job?

Georgie Frost
Original Broadcast:

This is Money

This Is Money: What does the Budget mean for you - and did Rachel Reeves fo a good job?
Rachel Reeves' maiden Budget last week saw the first-ever female chancellor make £40billion of sweeping tax rises in to plug funding gaps in the NHS and schools. While it left many of us with something to be miserable about when it comes to our money, there were also some important dodged bullets, as Simon Lambert, Georgie Frost and Helen Crane discuss. Among the losers were landlords, investors and those who have stashed wealth in their pension, as stamp duty, capital gains tax and inheritance tax all came under the spotlight. The attack on the middle classes was perhaps to be expected from a Government which has told us those with the broadest shoulders must bear a bigger burden. But aside from a rise in the minimum wage and 1p off a pint, did the Budget give enough of a boost to 'working people' — and will changes to employers' National Insurance Contributions indirectly hit them in the pocket anyway? Given growth was the buzzword of the Labour election campaign, did Reeves miss an opportunity to get people excited about British industry and entrepreneurship? We also dig into what wasn't announced in the speech, including a not-so-fond farewell to the short-lived British ISA, and a child benefit change that could have helped single parents found itself on the scrapheap.
Guest:

Helen Crane


Published:
Gavin Oldham

UK Parliament: Budget Speech 30 October 2024

Gavin Oldham
Original Broadcast:

Policy Matters

UK Parliament: Budget Speech 30 October 2024
UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves delivers her first Budget. This recording is unabridged and without additional comment.

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Gavin Oldham

Thought for the Week: Democratising Copyright

Gavin Oldham
Original Broadcast:

Thought for the Week

Thought for the Week: Democratising Copyright
Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft, has called for an overhaul of copyright legislation to recognise the broad span of human creativity. It is indeed time to re-align the balance between sharing knowledge and ring-fencing ownership, but the quid pro quo is to provide mass participation in the wealth creation made possible by Generative Artificial Intelligence. John Maynard Keynes' experience of the two world wars of the 20th century showed how complacent attitudes amongst the wealthy led to these tragedies, and Gillian Tett has drawn a parallel with today's cocktail of globalisation, capitalism and rapid technological development. The Achilles' heel is still acute wealth polarisation, but mass participation could provide a way forward. Background music: 'Intellect' by Yung Logos

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Georgie Frost

This Is Money: Private vs public sector pensions — and how to avoid a race to the bottom

Georgie Frost
Original Broadcast:

This is Money

This Is Money: Private vs public sector pensions — and how to avoid a race to the bottom
Are private sector retirement plans being put at risk in order to help strengthen public-sector gold-plated pensions? Georgie Frost discusses this and other topics with Simon Lambert and Lee Boyce, including a couple of irritating taxes, where interest rates will be next year and whether you should get a LISA if you already own a home. Plus, they identify some key property hotspots.

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Georgie Frost

This Is Money: What would YOU do if you were Chancellor for the Budget?

Georgie Frost
Original Broadcast:

This is Money

This Is Money: What would YOU do if you were Chancellor for the Budget?
Whether you voted Labour or not, with any new government, there is a sense of optimism. Things can only get better… apparently. But within days, Rachel Reeves and co poured cold water over all that - and the gloom and doom about the economy and what then could be (and crucially not be) in the Budget hasn’t stopped. Well, Simon Lambert is fed up. So he has put forward an alternative budget with less than two weeks to go. Do you agree with him? And what would you do? Alongside Georgie Frost and Lee Boyce, the trio talk about budget pessimism. Did it need to be this way? There has been plenty of speculation that NI paid by employers will rise and they may even have to pay NI on pension contributions. What does that mean? This week CPI fell below the Bank of England's 2% target in September, reaching its lowest point in three years. What does that mean for interest rates? More major lenders have put mortgage rates up - where next for home loan deals? And just what is Sonia, if not an Eastenders character or 80s pop star? Lastly, there has been plenty of pre-budget speculation about inheritance tax. But what about the here and now... can you really get caught out by taking your extended family on an annual holiday?

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