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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: The BoE, interest rates & the UK market

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: The BoE, interest rates & the UK market
Russ Mould of A J Bell wasn't surprised that the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee opted for no change in interest rates, though he was surprised that the vote was yet again 7-2. Services inflation is still too high, as is wage growth, for the Bank to be comfortable easing off. He notes that the UK stock market is now worth more than the French, one positive sign. He will be interested to see what the new government does when it comes to planned reforms and the UK market. Have we become too risk-averse?
Guest:

Russ Mould

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Frontier Developments and Dialight

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Frontier Developments and Dialight
Neil Shah of Edison Group discusses two turnaround situations. Video games company Frontier Developments suffered along with the entire sector but its new games are performing well, as is its back catalogue. It is now focusing on its core business and Neil feels it's one to put on the radar and watch. Dialight makes LEDs to be used in challenging environments and is well positioned for growth, with a new management team having a more pragmatic vision. It may also receive a large payout if it triumphs in ongoing legislation.
Guest:

Neil Shah

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: How might a new government affect the market?

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: How might a new government affect the market?
Russ Mould of A J Bell says that markets have traditionally done better under the Conservatives, though they have had longer in power than Labour. While the size of majorities makes no discernible difference, what is important is the macro side and particularly inflation. Since 2019 the CPI is up 22% and the RPI 33%, with wages up by a quarter. He looks at how different sectors might be affected such as housebuilding, energy, rail, utilities, defence and retail.
Guest:

Russ Mould

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Hargreaves Lansdown, the UK market & the consumer sector

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Hargreaves Lansdown, the UK market & the consumer sector
Neil Shah of Edison Group thinks the bid for Hargreaves Lansdown is interesting, feeling its prospects and potential growth rate might surprise a sceptical market. He sees there being a change in sentiment around the UK market, feeling that the perception that it is undervalued is being more widely appreciated. He also discusses the consumer sector where, if you look under the bonnet and are willing to go against the grain, there are green shoots, particularly in areas like travel and leisure.
Guest:

Neil Shah

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: The General Election & interest rates

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: The General Election & interest rates
Russ Mould of A J Bell discusses the General Election call, pointing out that while CPI inflation has almost returned to target, other measures are considerably higher and CPI itself is 26% higher than when Boris Johnson was elected PM. He explains why the markets no longer believe rates will be cut soon and what this means for those shares that are effectively bond proxies, such as utilities. Ever the contrarian, he highlights REITs – a yield and asset play – where some people think there is value and where, perhaps, most of the bad news is already in the price.
Guest:

Russ Mould

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: AO World and Renew Holdings

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: AO World and Renew Holdings
Neil Shah of Edison Group discusses the latest changes to his amazingly successful model portfolio The Illuminator. Although still of interest Rolls-Royce and Rightmove are ejected to make room for two newcomers. Online appliance retailer AO World has embarked on a turnaround and its guidance is optimistic, showing a great increase in profitability. Possessing a good balance sheet, they should earn a decent return for shareholders. Renew Holdings is a boring, but worthwhile compounder. It's a market leader in its area of engineering and construction, a fragmented market place. It has a high level of recurring revenue, well-disciplined management and will benefit from UK infrastructure spending. More here: https://www.edisongroup.com/insight/the-illuminator-march-2024/
Guest:

Neil Shah

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Why interest rates matter for markets

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Why interest rates matter for markets
With the Bank of England's MPC displaying "studious inactivity", Russ Mould of A J Bell looks at why interest rates are so important to pricing in stock markets. Despite no change in rates, the UK market is now anticipating a cut soon helped by the Swedish Riksbank cutting its rates for the first time in 8 years, along with other European banks. Russ also looks at the types of shares that will benefit from falling rates – assuming investors are reading the runes correctly.
Guest:

Russ Mould

Published:
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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: A J Bell & Epwin

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: A J Bell & Epwin
Neil Shah of Edison Group highlights a couple of companies he thinks might interest private investors. Many will have dealt with broker A J Bell which Neil thinks is doing well, being the 2nd-biggest execution-only broker. They've grown market share by lowering their prices but, given the drive for people to take more control of their finances, he finds them relatively inexpensive. And, although hardly a sexy business, he likes Epwin, which largely makes products for building repair and maintenance, such as doors and windows. They are exceptionally well run and go from strength to strength, are on an undemanding valuation and yield almost 6%.
Guest:

Neil Shah

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Why the FTSE 100 hit a record high

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Why the FTSE 100 hit a record high
After starting the year no higher than it was in 2018, Russ Mould tells Simon Rose why the FTSE 100-Share Index hit a record high. The best cure for low prices, he explains, is low prices. The currency is cheap for overseas investors thanks to Brexit, hence so much takeover activity, dividends are reasonably healthy and, with buybacks taken into account, the index is effectively yielding more than 7%. He suggests we might be moving into a period where the UK market, so long out of favour, might possess big advantages, though there are many "ifs" and "buts" about it.
Guest:

Russ Mould

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Simon Rose

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Foxtons & the Seraphim Space Investment Trust

Simon Rose
Original Broadcast:

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors

The Financial Outlook for Personal Investors: Foxtons & the Seraphim Space Investment Trust
Neil Shah of Edison Group looks at the 1st quarter trading update from Foxton's which, with a new management team, is undergoing a turnaround. It's a great brand, underpinned by good IT and data. It is a stable business (particularly lettings) with low risk on the downside which might have a great upside if press comments about it being sold are borne out. More esoteric is the Seraphim Space Investment Trust, which invests in companies exposed to the space industry, where the private sector is bringing down the cost of launching items into space. The price has risen, boosted to some extent by the prospect of increased defence spending. But the portfolio is maturing and profitability is coming through from many of its investments. It's a way to get exposure to space through a team of experts.
Guest:

Neil Shah

Published:
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